Winter Forecast 2011-2012

by Craig McPeck

Hello and welcome to yet another start of the upcoming fall season at Snow-Day.org, your number one source for winter weather forecast and information!

Here are the dates that which my winter forecast’s will come out;

- September 16th – Preliminary and 1st winter forecast issuance
- October 16th – Second winter forecast issuance
- November 16th – Final winter forecast issuance

I would like to touch up on a few things, rather hints, no give-aways you will all have to wait for the winter forecast on September 16th.

Here is the current ice cover chart;

As you can se the red line is the 2011 line and for a while it was holding strong somewhere in the middle of the graph but during the summer it started sliding back to the least ice cover during the last 10 or so years. But in the last week or so the arctic has seen much below average temperatures to come in thus the sea ice is making a drastic recovery as seen as the sharp right turn with the red line.

Also here is the EXPERIMENTAL NASA Climate model predictor;

As you can see, through next winter it carries us into a very weak la nina even a neutral state of climate phase. But as I am watching this Sea Surface Temperatures conditions are very exceptional for a La Nina so I am guessing we could see a weak or moderate strength la nina;

That is all for now, you may make your own judgements upon this information, but you will all just have to wait for my winter forecast on September 16th!

-Craig

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